Protestas y política fiscal en Argentina (2006-2019)
Palavras-chave:
protestas, política fiscal, transferencias, internet, ArgentinaResumo
En este trabajo respondemos al interrogante de si las protestas constituyen un mecanismo efectivo para inducir cambios en la política fiscal para el caso de un país en desarrollo y federal ?Argentina?. La estrategia de identificación consiste en un enfoque de variable instrumental ?que permite superar las frecuentes preocupaciones por causalidad inversa?, basado en la expansión del acceso a internet. Los resultados indican que una mayor frecuencia de protestas genera un incremento en las transferencias discrecionales del gobierno nacional hacia las provincias con protestas. Esto no se traduce en una mejora en el resultado económico ni en una reducción en la recaudación tributaria de esas provincias. Así, las protestas aparecen como un mecanismo efectivo para inducir cambios en la política fiscal vía transferencias.
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