La oferta de ganado vacuno para ceba en el departamento de Sucre, Colombia: un enfoque ARDL
Palavras-chave:
Ganado vacuno, elasticidad, riesgo-clima, riesgo-precioResumo
Se identifican determinantes de la oferta de ganado vacuno macho de levante en el Departamento de Sucre, Colombia, 2007-2015, bajo el enfoque del modelo Autoregresivo con Retardos Distribuidos. Ella responde negativamente al riesgo- clima y riesgo- precio en el largo y corto plazo; de manera positiva al precio de la leche cruda y al sacrificio regional; a diferencia de la oferta final del cebado, no existe una relación inversa con el precio a corto plazo lo que expresaría la visión de ganancia cortoplacista predominante de los comercializadores, o los cambios del ciclo ganadero por la generalización del sistema doble propósito.
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